NFL pre-game shows

  • wkw
    Participant
    Posts: 505
    #2224248

    Every network has 5-7 former players and “experts” predicting the outcome of every game. Has anybody ever followed how accurate they have been?

    Jon Jordan
    Keymaster
    St. Paul, Mn
    Posts: 5504
    #2224251

    It’s one thing to pick a winner. Picking a winner that covers the point spread or betting line is another!

    -J.

    supercat
    Participant
    Eau Claire, WI
    Posts: 1179
    #2224314

    Every network has 5-7 former players and “experts” predicting the outcome of every game. Has anybody ever followed how accurate they have been?

    Well who did they pick last night?

    buckybadger
    Participant
    Upper Midwest
    Posts: 6746
    #2224325

    If a game kicks at 7:20 and I want to watch it, I turn on the TV at about 7:18. These pregame shows just keep getting earlier/longer, and worse.

    BigWerm
    Participant
    SW Metro
    Posts: 9585
    #2224328

    Every network has 5-7 former players and “experts” predicting the outcome of every game. Has anybody ever followed how accurate they have been?

    Most of them keep a record of their picks over the course of the season. But I would like to see where everyone stacks up across ESPN/Fox/CBS etc. And I’d also love to see the draft “experts” success rate, both in their mocks and their long term predictions.

    Dan
    Participant
    Southeast MN
    Posts: 3388
    #2224346

    I’d also love to see the draft “experts” success rate, both in their mocks and their long term predictions.

    I’m sure you’ve seen them, but now and then you’ll see articles “re-drafting” a certain year based on how guys have ended up. For example (not being a homer just because they are/were Vikings) but you really think Danielle Hunter would be a 4th-rounder if people knew what he’d become? Stefon Diggs a 5th-rounder?

    I’ve said this many times before but I think it bears repeating-an in-depth study was done evaluating drafting by franchises going back to the mid-80’s and the study showed that no franchise really stood out among the rest of the league when it came to draft success. People suffer from recency bias, and high picks that don’t turn out are low-hanging fruit for everyone, but the reality is every franchise is making educated guesses, projecting who might work for their team.

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